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Beneath Analytics

SaaS

Churn prediction model for a SaaS business losing 4% per month.

A B2B SaaS company was losing 4.2% of customers monthly with no early warning system, while product usage sat in a database customer success could not reach. Beneath Analytics unified the data in BigQuery, built a 45-day behavioural churn model at 78% precision, and cut churn to 2.8% in four months.

B2B SaaS company, project management tools

Challenge

What was going wrong.

Monthly churn was running at 4.2%. The customer success team was reactive: they only heard about at-risk accounts when a cancellation came in. Product usage data existed but sat in a separate database that nobody in customer success had access to, so there was no early warning system.

Approach

How we built it.

Steps in delivery order, each one depends on the one before it.

  1. BigQuery data warehouse unifying product usage, billing, support, and CRM data into one model.

  2. Churn prediction model using 45-day behavioural signals, validated at 78% precision against held-out cohorts.

  3. Customer health score dashboard for the customer success team, updated daily.

  4. Automated Slack alerts when an account crossed a risk threshold, so intervention happens before renewal.

Results

What changed.

Every metric measured against the baseline we inherited, reported the same way we report to clients.

  • 4.2% to 2.8%

    Monthly churn: reduced in four months

  • 45 days

    Churn visibility: earlier warning on at-risk accounts

  • About €280K

    ARR retained: estimated, in year one

  • 10 weeks

    Delivery time

Questions

Common questions.

Monthly churn fell from 4.2% to 2.8% within four months. Customer success received health scores daily and Slack alerts when an account crossed a risk threshold, so outreach happened 45 days before renewal instead of after cancellation.

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